A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Thats a ridiculously huge number. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. If you shouldnt even be here, then what is the point of worrying? Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Are you a miracle? On the probability of being born | Dr. Ali Binazir But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Dr. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. Who knows, maybe the ball that vanished into childhood's thicket? The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. I think that was exactly Msgr. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. This basically ZERO CHANCE of BEING BORN shows me that WE ALL DESERVE having an EQUAL PLACE on Earth! Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. Scientists Calculate the Probability of Your Existence, Conclusions In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Which one's bigger? Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Then the probability of Mr. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. And worry and fear? 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Then the probability of Mr. Hello there! Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. A donut with no hole, is a Danish. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Its maddening to see people worry so much. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Step 1. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Now things start getting interesting. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. June 24, 2022 . Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Happiness Engineering with Dr Ali Binazir dr ali binazir odds of being born. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? dr ali binazir odds of being born The Odds of You Being You - linkedin.com Thats a number so huge it hurts to think about it. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. May 20, 2021; linda hunt commercials; nail salon in publix plaza near me . Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Opportunity - livebendy.com They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Something was dropped and then picked up. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. You get the volume of planet Earth. It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. saving. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. Osterholm is one of the world's foremost public health professionals, having served for 40 years on the frontlines of such diseases as Ebola, SARS, MERS, Zika and everything else. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. So what's the probability of your being born? Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here?

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